Thursday, April 25, 2013

OPINION: On the same case of voter registration: Two Studies, two numbers! The consortium lost the opportunity to go on the offensive


They form a formidable consortium with immense human capital and never-run-dried financial resources to dictate their will on institution and government, on the basis of human rights for individual freedom, with a total absence of individual responsibility. The consortium is composed of clustered elements, each one feeds the others and draws lifeline from the others, but often times mutated to form close cycle of unbreakable chain links. They are Mr. Surya Subedi, the National Democratic Institute of Cambodia (NDI Cambodia), the Committee for Free and Fair Election in Cambodia (COMFREL), some other NGOs, Sam Rainsy, and the opposition parties. Sometimes it had to add The Cambodia Daily and Radio Free Asia when their news reporting or analyses were subjective and pro-opposition. Unmistakably, they also earned praise for their objectivity and fairness.
 
For season 2012-2013 their focus is on the National Election Committee (NEC). It started with Mr. Surya Subedi’s allegation that there are “major flaws in the administration of election in Cambodia and urgent and longer-term reforms are needed to give Cambodians confidence in the electoral process and in the workings of the National Election Committee,” 16 July 2012 UN/GA report. Characteristically of their dependency to one another and to their association in their effort to put the blame on and to dismantle the NEC, Mr. Subedi report utilized previous studies conducted by (NGOs) NDI-Cambodia, COMFRL, NICFEC and others, combined with one-sided and selective face to face conversations with selected “professional” protesters during his “UN missions” to Cambodia to discover “the flaws” and to formulate recommendations, some of them are inappropriate and politically motivated. For example, Paragraph 80 is an assault against the Constitution of the Kingdom of Cambodia, and paragraph 82 is politically motivated with a clear attempt to polarize and divide the Cambodian people.    
 
Mr. Subedi’s accusations against the NEC has caught the kind of fast and furious brush fire that caused the other links inside the close chain to come up with study to reinforce those lengthy accusations. At least two studies were conducted in their attempts to prove the NEC’s flaws.
 
The Committee for Free and Fair Election in Cambodia (COMFREL) ’s March 2013 Final Report on the Survey of Voter List and Voter Registration, in its major findings found that “ 97.7% of eligible voters registered to vote,” p. 16. On the other hand, the combined 21 March 2013 report by the National Democratic Institute, Cambodia (NDI-Cambodia), the Neutral and Impartial Committee for Free and Fair Elections (NICFEC) and the Center for Advanced Study (CAS) on Cambodia Voter Registry Report revealed that “ 82.9% of eligible citizens are registered,” p. 31. If “eligible voters” and “eligible citizens” are the same, it would imply that another survey and audit by another well-funded and well-staffed organization will come up with a different rate. However, the two reports did not fail to point to the “NEC’s statistical discrepancies,” to have “registered voters at a rate of 101.74%,” said COMFREL, and “that the number of registered voters is at 101.7% of the eligible population,” said NDI, NICFEC and CAS. In view of the huge difference in their major findings, the question of reliability and credibility of their separate study cannot be overlooked. It raises more doubts as to the integrity of the study as well as the intentions of the organizations that conducted the study. What is particularly damaging is that bad breed politicians cannot use these findings to attack the NEC and the CPP-led government with calm and certainty. Occasionally, Sam Rainsy appears on the radar screen, either calling oversea Cambodians to exert pressure on foreign governments to support his unreasonable claim of violations and abuse of his human rights, or urging foreign politicians to take actions against the popular elected government of Cambodia. Lately, as reported by AFP on 12 March 2013, he boasted about starting a strong movement to topple any government formed by the election, and as recently as of last Wednesday he will purge as many as high ranking officials of the Royal Government of Cambodia, if the opposition wins the July election. Actually he created anti-Cambodian government information to be used as reference by Mr. Subedi and the others.       
 
Standing alone and without the other, each study opens wide to the interpretation by politicians, especially those of the opposition parties who will forcefully pitch in favor of the accusation made by Mr. Subedi. In addition, it would be further utilized by Mr. Subedi to push his offensive against the NEC, and probably against the CPP-led government. It seemed that the opportunity no longer exists because, at least two studies have been conducted and those two studies revealed two humongous differences: “97.7% of eligible voters registered to vote,” as per COMFREL and “82.9% of eligible citizens are registered,” as per NDI, NICFEC and CAS. Yet, in my opinion, the two studies are useful academically for other studies.
 
It is a total absurdity for the opposition parties to lead the people in support of Mr. Subedi recommendations, and to support the findings of the studies by COMFREL, NDI, NICFEC and CAS, and some other NGOs, with the knowledge that the studies lack reliability and credibility and consequently Mr. Subedi recommendations are based on shaky ground, and on fabricated results of partial organizations. If and when Mr. Subedi, COMFREL, NDI, NICFEC, CAS and some other NGOs devoted their huge resources to drive the Cambodian people to register to vote, democracy would have been further enhanced and the harmony among the Cambodian people would have been greatly insured.
 
23 April 2013
Professor Pen Ngoeun,
Advisor, University of Puthisastra, Phnom Penh , Cambodia
pngoeun@puthisastra.edu.kh